Selected Social Implications of Climate Change for Ontarios Ecodistrict 3E-1 (The Clay Belt) - CCRR29

Summary

Climate change will likely affect both social and ecological systems in Ecodistrict 3E-1 in northeastern Ontario. Projected increases in temperature and changes to the type and amount of precipitation may affect ecosystems and how people interact with, and benefit from, ecosystem values and resources. We report projected changes to season length for snowmobiling and ice fishing and expected changes to revenues of float plane-accessible tourism establishments based on changes in walleye (Sander vitreum) productivity and smallmouth bass (Micropterus dolomieu) presence in lakes as social indicators of vulnerability to climate change. These projections are derived from an ensemble and the CGCM3 model for two common climate change scenarios for the short- (year 2040), mid- (year 2070), and long- (year 2100) term. Winter recreation (snowmobiling and ice fishing) is projected to be moderately affected by climate change in the short and mid-term. The longer-term implications of climate change may be more pronounced. Under the more extreme climate change scenario, by 2100 both the snowmobile and ice fishing seasons may be as much as one month shorter.

Published Date: October 30, 2012
Publisher: Ontario Government, Ministry of Natural Resources
Author: Science and Information Resources Division

Details

Selected Social Implications of Climate Change for Ontarios Ecodistrict 3E-1 (The Clay Belt) - CCRR29
ISBN: 978-1-4606-0250-8   (PDF) 2.28 MB