Potential Effects of Climate Change on the Growth and Development of Forested Peatlands in the Clay Belt

Summary

The objective of this study was to model the development of northeastern Ontario forested peatlands in relation to changing temperatures, precipitation, and natural fire regimes for the period 2011-2100 and explore the effects of paludification or the accumulation of peat on dry mineral soil. Model projections indicated a slight to moderate decrease in forested peatland area by 2100 along with slower rates of paludification. The projected decreases in paludification rates imply greater forest productivity and increased potential for forest harvest. Also expected is a gradual loss of open paludified stands, which could affect the overall carbon balance as well as habitat availability for species associated with open areas. Recommendations for model enhancement and forest management planning are also provided.

Published Date: September 25, 2013
Publisher: Ontario Government, Ministry of Natural Resources
Author: Science and Information Resources Division

Details

Potential Effects of Climate Change on the Growth and Development of Forested Peatlands in the Clay Belt
ISBN: 978-1-4606-2958-1   (PDF) 1.73 MB